Political Analyses

Aug 6th 1979
“Poland: Rebirth of Nationalism”
Folha da Tarde

This article mentions the election of a Polish pope and his visit to Poland as a problem for the Kremlin and a motivation for Polish nationalism. He mentions several examples in which Polish nationalism expressed itself against the Russians, such as the war against the Russians in 1920 and the revolts in Warsaw in 1944 and 1942, which have been erased from didactic books.

According to the author, the 1944 Warsaw revolt erupted because the Polish people wanted to participate in the liberation of their capital city. It was a way to safeguard their honor and dignity after the years of war. But this was seen by Stalin as a provocation, because of which he ordered his troops to station by the Vistula River, and not to attack the Germans until October the 3rd, when the revolt was over. Around 1 million people died in consequence of the delay of the Russian invasion.

Abraham says Poland would no longer be the same after the nomination of a Polish pope. He mentions as a sign the address made by Wojciech Ziembicki in August, 1944, in which he criticized the Soviet domination of Poland. According to him, this address was a good example of the reappearance of Polish nationalism, which could spread to other Eastern Europe countries and even to Russia.

Aug 4th 1979
“Nuclear Plant: a Two-Edged Knife”
Folha da Tarde

The article opens with the account of a nuclear accident in the plant of Three Miles Island, in Pennsylvania, which raised serious concerns and the evacuation of the residents within 15 kilometers away from the plant.

It then mentions the results of researches about the effects of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombs on children of women that did not live in the areas directly affected by the bombings, as well as the levels of leukemia in the city of Nevada, where nuclear tests had been performed in 1951.

The article closes by pointing out the oil crisis as a factor that might increase the number of nuclear plants throughout the world, so possibly a catastrophe could occur despite all precautions. It also mentions the danger presented by nuclear waste.

June, 18th, 1979
“Oil: Industrialized Countries Versus OPEC”
Folha da Tarde

The objective of the article is to describe the conflict between the industrialized countries and the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries). Ben Abraham starts narrating the start of the oil age, with the consequent enslavement of mankind to oil and its derivate products, which was brought to evidence by the 1973 oil crisis. The raise of more than 300% of the price of the oil barrel cause a worldwide economic crisis, which affected especially the developing countries.

In the case of Brasil, despite of the success in the production of alcohol as a substitute for gasoline, it was still necessary to find alternatives for oil derivate products such as acetylene, ethylene and benzene. According to Ben Abrahan, the world oil reserves would be around 600 to 700 billion barrels, which could be consumed within 30 years at the most.

He then mentions the meeting of the developed countries to take place in Japan, where a plan would be discussed to face the oil exporters in their attempts to raise prices or decrease the production of oil. According to him, one of the solutions could be forming a cartel of buyers.

Nov, 5th, 1979
“The Origin of Wars”
Folha da Tarde

Ben Abraham mentions several examples to demonstrate what he believes is the origin of all wars: since primeval, clans and tribes warred against each other in search of food, women and larger lands. Getting back to the Tower of Babel, he affirms the same confusion has been present among mankind, whatever the alleged reason.

This thesis appears in the middle of the article, while its beginning describes the moves of USA in order to expand its domain over different parts of the world since President Monroe. It is interesting to notice that he mentions the influence of Soviet agents over USA’s public opinion as a factor that made USA to allow Soviet penetration in the Americas and in Africa. He also affirms that peace agreements such as the Versailles Treaty never really solve the problems that caused the wars, but rather raise new problems that will cause other wars.

July, 1st, 1982
“Peace through Weapons”
Folha da Tarde

Ben Abraham starts this article by mentioning the proposal made by US president Ronald Reagan, during his visit to Western Berlin, for a bilateral decrease of troops to 900 thousand men. As a response, the Soviet Foreign Relations Secretary Andrei Gromiko, in his speech at the United Nations, indicated that the USSR was willing to totally prescribe nuclear weapons.

The author then begins to cast some doubt on the sincerity of those promises, mentioning other examples that showed the inconsistency between what Soviet leaders have said and the facts on the ground.

In order to support his views against disarmament, Ben Abraham describes the superiority, in terms of non-nuclear weaponry, of the member countries of the Warsaw Pact over those of the NATO. He adds that the peace treaty of World War I, with its disarmament conditions imposed over Germany, resulted only in World War II, whereas the arms race started after World War II had resulted in nothing but localized conflicts.

Jan, 13th, 1984
“Super Weapons: Solution or Suicide”
Folha da Tarde

In this article Ben Abraham again demonstrates his thesis that disarmament is not the solution to prevent new world wars, relying in the examples of the aftermath of World War I, which according to him resulted from disarmament treaties, and of World War II, which never generated a direct conflict between over armed super powers.

On the other hand, he points out the danger of a direct conflict resulting either from human failure or computer problems, which could release a false alarm of a nuclear attack and trigger the immediate reprisal from the other side. He gives several examples of when this actually happened, mentioning the incident in June 3rd, 1980, when a US-52 took off from Hawaii in response to a false nuclear emergency alarm.

Feb, 13th, 1990
“The Failure of the Third International”
O Estado de S. Paulo

In this article Ben Abraham presents his views on Communism and its maintenance for 7 decades, at the expanse of countless lives, deprivation of civil and human rights, violence and terror. According to the author, Communism is not a noble ideology aiming at establishing equality among men, but rather a dictatorship exercised by the elite of the Communist party, which enjoyed luxurious life conditions whereas the people in the USSR and allied countries did not have any freedom. He then mentions the 1989 massacre that had taken place in Beijing, pointing out the fact that, in China, each student killed meant the end of a family due to the country’s one-child policy. He closes the article with comments about Gorbachev, who according to him is someone able to see reality.